Mr Obama won the state in 2012 and … The bar and arrow between them shows how the numbers have swung. Although polls in 2016 weren’t far off the mark – Clinton was expected to win the popular vote by around 3.2 percentage points and she won by 2.9 – those reading the polls today are more savvy as to what they mean. Texas, who hasn’t elected a Democrat since 1976 following Richard Nixon’s Watergate scandal, is within the margin of error between Trump and Biden. Iowa leaned toward Republicans, but has now become a toss-up state. The thick line the arrows are pointing to marks the current 2020 polling.

More blue bars means the country has swung more Democratic, more red bars means it's more Republican. Trump is only polling ahead in 1 battleground state, Watch the country's first firefighting robot in action, Mindfulness expert leads Cooper through guided meditation, This fourth-grader doesn't have WiFi at home. We focus on what those projections imply for the presidential elections between 2020 and 2036 under different assumptions about future turnout … This version of the model assumes every state has the same polling error (polls on election day vs actual result) as it did in 2016. 65 votes are in toss-up states.

The same is true of Kansas and Arizona, neither of whom have went blue in any recent election. Re: Electoral Map in 2040-2050 « Reply #16 on: April 09, 2013, 02:14:31 pm » Alright, this is my take at the 2040 election (under the 2030 census-based apportionment of EVs).

The smaller, lighter lines are the 2016 polling/results. I'm not going to air it, 'SNL' mocks the Trump and Biden town halls, Bruce Willis reprises iconic role for commercial, Biden's town hall beats Trump's in TV ratings, Watch Steph Curry give Bill Gates a job interview, Disneyland fights to reopen despite pushback from governor. Wisconsin, Nebraska’s 2nd district, and Arizona have all been considered a toss-up, likely to go either way, but now lean Democrat. Could this be the cure to our plastic problem? To put the map into perspective, if all the states where Trump has a solid lead go to him in 2020, he’ll have 111 electoral college votes and will need another 159 electoral college votes from swing states. He's trailing not just in battlegrounds but, according to private GOP surveys, he's repelling independents to the point where Biden has drawn closer red states like Montana, Kansas and Missouri., — Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 7, 2020, Trump Embarrasses Himself During W.H.

Here we see how each state currently compares to 2016 (both the 2016 polling and results). Or check out our state specific IG accounts. New polls show Trump's support is collapsing nationally. The bar/arrow will be blue if it's now more Democratic or red it it's more Republican., — Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) October 10, 2020. CNN's John King breaks down the latest Electoral College projections three weeks away from the 2020 election as Joe Biden holds a double-digit lead in national polling average. With Joe Biden holding his lead over President Trump in most battleground state polls, CNN's John King breaks down the latest Electoral College projections and compares it … There are 78 votes up for grabs in states that lean toward Biden and 52 in states that lean toward Trump. There are 78 votes up for grabs in states that lean toward Biden and 52 in states that lean toward Trump. JUST IN: Donald Trump Took $150,000 In Federal Relief Aid Meant... ‘The View’ Co-Host Joy Behar Goes NUCLEAR On Donald Trump Accusing... Trump Loses Control During Sexist Tirade: Says Hillary Will Let Muslims... Do Not Sell My Personal Information (CCPA). Trace the path from either end to see which state could put one candidate over the top. The president won in Florida in 2016, grabbing a sizable 29 Electoral College votes, the nation’s largest swing state. Trump will have to win all of the states where he has a solid lead, all of the states leaning Republican, and an additional 46 electoral college votes in toss-up states. Surprisingly, even some of the “lean GOP” states these days are states where Republicans have had a stronghold for years. You can click '2016 Polls' or '2020 Results' just below this to toggle them on/off for a clearer view.

Vote Margins Tipping Points. I used state-by-state population projections 1 and then calculated vote apportionment 2 to determine what the electoral map would look like. Apply the same to Biden and he has 212 electoral college votes, so he will need 58 electoral college votes from swing states to reach 270. Balcony Speech Debacle, Pennsylvania Federal Judge Defiantly Rebuffs Trump’s Voter Sabotage,, Federal Judge Thwarts Trump Attempt To Sabotage Mail-In Voting, 3 Federal Judges Rule Unanimously Against Trump’s Census Sabotage, Mike Pence Humiliated By Leaked Clip Of ’60 Minutes’ Interview, Obama Posts Defiant Thursday Video To Save America From Trump.

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